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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 7:00 PM ET · Final Georgia State 31, Kennesaw State 17

Georgia State at Kennesaw State

Kennesaw State −9.5 at our first look, −7.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. Conference USA.

Conditions · Fifth Third Stadium: At kickoff: 84°F, wind 3 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Georgia State 0.0 · Kennesaw State 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward Georgia State.

Landed: Georgia State 31, Kennesaw State 17. Georgia State covered the closing line (Kennesaw State −7.5). The move toward Georgia State was right. 48 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Georgia State Panthers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Kennesaw State Owls 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Kennesaw State lineKennesaw State Owls spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Kennesaw State.
−10−9−8−7Opening line−9.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 PM+2Closing line−7.5
−10−9−8−7Opening line−9.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 PM+2Closing line−7.5

Final: Georgia State 31, Kennesaw State 17. Kennesaw State missed the closing number by 21.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−9.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 11:55 PM ET+2
Closing line−7.5
What moved the Kennesaw State moneylineKennesaw State Owls moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Kennesaw State.
−213−233−257−285Opening line−286Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 PM−215Less than the spread implies−262Closing line−262
−213−233−257−285Opening line−286Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 PM−215Less than the spread implies−262Closing line−262
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line74.1% (−286)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 11:55 PM ET68.3% (−215)
Less than the spread implies72.4% (−262)
Closing line72.4% (−262)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
50515253545556Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsSun 7:55 PM+5Closing line55.5
50525456Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsSun 7:55 PM+5Closing line55.5

Final: 48 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 7:55 PM ET+5
Closing line55.5

Every Book · Kennesaw State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7.5 −110−3001.33 72.4%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−7 −115−2981.34 71.8%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−7.5 −110−3101.32 72.3%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−7.5 −102−3001.33 72.4%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−7 −117−3201.31 72.7%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−7.5 −110−3101.32 72.6%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−8 −109−3351.30 72.7%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−7 −115−3001.33 72.1%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−7.5 −105−3101.32 72.9%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−7 −111−3001.33 72.1%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−7.5 −110−3001.33 71.6%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−7 −115−3001.33 72.4%55.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.