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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 7:00 PM ET · Final Middle Tennessee 26, Marshall 28

Middle Tennessee at Marshall

Marshall −17.5 at our first look, −13 at kickoff. Conference USA vs. Sun Belt.

Conditions · Joan C. Edwards Stadium: At kickoff: 78°F, wind 3 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Middle Tennessee 0.0 · Marshall 0.0. Market: moved 4.5 toward Middle Tennessee.

Landed: Middle Tennessee 26, Marshall 28. Middle Tennessee covered the closing line (Marshall −13). The move toward Middle Tennessee was right. 54 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Marshall Thundering Herd 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Marshall lineMarshall Thundering Herd spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Marshall.
−18−17−16−15−14−13Opening line−17.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+3.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM+1Closing line−13
−18−17−16−15−14−13Opening line−17.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+3.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM+1Closing line−13

Final: Middle Tennessee 26, Marshall 28. Marshall missed the closing number by 11.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−17.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 5:55 PM ET+3.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 8, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line−13
What moved the Marshall moneylineMarshall Thundering Herd moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Marshall.
−456−525−614Opening line−681Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−681Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−625Price-only move−421Closing line−421
−456−525−614Opening line−681Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−681Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−625Price-only move−421Closing line−421
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line87.2% (−681)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 5:55 PM ET87.2% (−681)
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 8, 11:55 AM ET86.2% (−625)
Price-only move80.8% (−421)
Closing line80.8% (−421)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
55565758Opening line57.5Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−2Closing line55.5
55565758Opening line57.5Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−2Closing line55.5

Final: 54 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 3:55 PM ET-2
Closing line55.5

Every Book · Marshall side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−13 −110−5301.19 80.8%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−12.5 −112−5351.19 80.8%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−12.5 −110−4901.20 79.4%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−13 −108−5251.19 80.8%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−12.5 −112−5301.19 80.8%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−13 −110−5501.18 81.2%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−13.5 −110−6251.16 81.9%56Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−13 −110−5001.20 80.1%56Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−13 −105−6001.17 81.8%56Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−13 −106−5001.20 80.1%56Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−12.5 −110−5611.18 80.9%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−13 −110−5001.20 80.3%55.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.