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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 7:30 PM ET · Final Navy 30, Florida Atlantic 38

Navy at Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic +6.5 at our first look, +4 at kickoff. American Athletic game.

Conditions · FAU Stadium: At kickoff: 79°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Navy 0.0 · Florida Atlantic 0.0. Market: moved 2.5 toward Florida Atlantic.

Landed: Navy 30, Florida Atlantic 38. Florida Atlantic covered the closing line (Florida Atlantic +4). The move toward Florida Atlantic was right. 68 points, over the closing total of 59.5.

Navy Midshipmen 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Florida Atlantic Owls 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Florida Atlantic lineFlorida Atlantic Owls spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Florida Atlantic.
+4+5+6+7Opening line+6.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−2Closing line+4
+4+5+6+7Opening line+6.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−2Closing line+4

Final: Navy 30, Florida Atlantic 38. Florida Atlantic beat the closing number by 12.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+6.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 3:55 PM ET-2
Closing line+4
What moved the Florida Atlantic moneylineFlorida Atlantic Owls moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Florida Atlantic.
+212+194+178+163+150Opening line+217Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+192Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM+149Less than the spread implies+173Closing line+173
+212+194+178+163+150Opening line+217Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+192Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM+149Less than the spread implies+173Closing line+173
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line31.5% (+217)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 PM ET34.2% (+192)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 3:55 PM ET40.1% (+149)
Less than the spread implies36.6% (+173)
Closing line36.6% (+173)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
57585960Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+0.5Closing line59.5
57585960Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+0.5Closing line59.5

Final: 68 points, over the closing total of 59.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 PM ET+1.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 1:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line59.5

Every Book · Florida Atlantic side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+4 −110+1632.63 36.6%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+4 −108+1642.64 36.3%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+4.5 −110+1602.60 36.8%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+4.5 −110+1602.60 36.6%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+4 −112+1652.65 36.3%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics+4 −110+1602.60 36.8%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers+4.5 −113+1502.50 37.7%59Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+4 −110+1652.65 36.5%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+4 −110+1602.60 37.2%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+4 −106+1652.65 36.5%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+4.5 −110+1632.63 36.2%59.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+4 −110+1632.63 36.7%59.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.