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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 12:00 PM ET · Final Oklahoma 10, Michigan 17

Oklahoma at Michigan

Michigan −1.5 at our first look, +5 at kickoff. SEC vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Michigan Stadium: At kickoff: 73°F, wind 7 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Oklahoma 0.0 · Michigan 0.0. Market: moved 6.5 toward Oklahoma.

Landed: Oklahoma 10, Michigan 17. Michigan covered the closing line (Michigan +5). The move toward Oklahoma was wrong. 27 points, under the closing total of 43.5.

Oklahoma Sooners 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Michigan Wolverines 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Michigan lineMichigan Wolverines spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Michigan.
−2PK+2+4Opening line−1.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM+7.5Closing line+5
−2PK+2+4Opening line−1.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM+7.5Closing line+5

Final: Oklahoma 10, Michigan 17. Michigan beat the closing number by 12.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−1.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 2, 7:55 PM ET-1
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 5, 11:55 PM ET+7.5
Closing line+5
What moved the Michigan moneylineMichigan Wolverines moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Michigan.
+186+150+122−100−122Opening line−108Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−125Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM+199Less than the spread implies+192Closing line+192
+186+150+122−100−122Opening line−108Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−125Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM+199Less than the spread implies+192Closing line+192
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.9% (−108)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 2, 7:55 PM ET55.6% (−125)
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 5, 11:55 PM ET33.4% (+199)
Less than the spread implies34.3% (+192)
Closing line34.3% (+192)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
43444546Opening line45.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 AM−1Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM−1Closing line43.5
43444546Opening line45.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 AM−1Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM−1Closing line43.5

Final: 27 points, under the closing total of 43.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line45.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 1:55 AM ET-1
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 5, 11:55 PM ET-1
Closing line43.5

Every Book · Michigan side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+5 −110+1802.80 34.3%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings+5.5 −112+1702.70 35.5%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel+4.5 −105+1802.80 34.4%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM+5 −108+1752.75 34.9%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars+4.5 −106+1762.76 34.7%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics+5 −110+1752.75 34.8%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers+6 −115+1752.75 34.3%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline+4.5 −107+1872.87 33.6%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada+4.5 −110+1802.80 34.2%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig+4.5 −106+1832.83 34.1%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie+5 −110+1852.85 33.4%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS+5 −110+1852.85 33.8%43.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.