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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 7:15 PM ET · Final San Diego State 10, UCLA 28

San Diego State at 21UCLA

UCLA −8.5 at our first look, −13.5 at kickoff. Pac-12 vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Rose Bowl: At kickoff: 87°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: San Diego State 0.0 · UCLA 0.0. Market: moved 5 toward UCLA.

Landed: San Diego State 10, UCLA 28. UCLA covered the closing line (UCLA −13.5). The move toward UCLA was right. 38 points, under the closing total of 54.5.

San Diego State Aztecs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

UCLA Bruins 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the UCLA lineUCLA Bruins spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against UCLA.
−14−13−12−11−10−9−8Opening line−8.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−3.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−1.5Closing line−13.5
−14−12−10−8Opening line−8.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−3.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−1.5Closing line−13.5

Final: San Diego State 10, UCLA 28. UCLA beat the closing number by 4.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−8.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 3, 5:55 PM ET-3.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET-1.5
Closing line−13.5
What moved the UCLA moneylineUCLA Bruins moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward UCLA.
−400−567Opening line−339Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−604Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−770Less than the spread implies−435Closing line−435
−400−567Opening line−339Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−604Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−770Less than the spread implies−435Closing line−435
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line77.2% (−339)
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 3, 5:55 PM ET85.8% (−604)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET88.5% (−770)
Less than the spread implies81.3% (−435)
Closing line81.3% (−435)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
49505152535455Opening line49.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+4.5Closing line54.5
505254Opening line49.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+4.5Closing line54.5

Final: 38 points, under the closing total of 54.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 3:55 PM ET+0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET+4.5
Closing line54.5

Every Book · UCLA side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.3%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−13.5 −108−5351.19 80.8%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−13.5 −110−6101.16 82.3%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.6%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−13.5 −112−5301.19 80.8%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.2%54Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−13.5 −115−7151.14 82.6%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.3%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−13.5 −115−5751.17 81.0%54Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−13.5 −106−5501.18 81.3%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−14 −110−5751.17 81.3%54Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.6%54.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.