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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 7:00 PM ET · Final South Alabama 24, Tulane 28

South Alabama at Tulane

Tulane −10 at our first look, −9.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. American Athletic.

Conditions · Yulman Stadium: At kickoff: 81°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: South Alabama 0.0 · Tulane 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward South Alabama.

Landed: South Alabama 24, Tulane 28. South Alabama covered the closing line (Tulane −9.5). The move toward South Alabama was right. 52 points, over the closing total of 48.

South Alabama Jaguars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Tulane Green Wave 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Tulane lineTulane Green Wave spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Tulane.
−11−10−9Opening line−10Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1Closing line−9.5
−11−10−9Opening line−10Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1Closing line−9.5

Final: South Alabama 24, Tulane 28. Tulane missed the closing number by 5.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−10
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line−9.5
What moved the Tulane moneylineTulane Green Wave moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Tulane.
−300−317−335Opening line−317Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−326Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−300Closing line−305
−300−317−335Opening line−317Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−326Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−300Closing line−305
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line76.0% (−317)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET76.5% (−326)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 11:55 AM ET75.0% (−300)
Closing line75.3% (−305)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4850525456Opening line55.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−5Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−2.5Closing line48
4850525456Opening line55.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−5Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−2.5Closing line48

Final: 52 points, over the closing total of 48.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET-5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 3:55 PM ET-2.5
Closing line48

Every Book · Tulane side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−9.5 −110−3601.28 75.3%48Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−9.5 −112−3601.28 75.1%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−9.5 −108−3501.29 74.5%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−9.5 −108−3501.29 74.7%47.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−10 −105−3801.26 75.5%48Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−9.5 −115−3751.27 75.5%48Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−9.5 −110−3851.26 75.1%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−9 −113−3601.28 75.3%48Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−10 +100−4001.25 76.2%48Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−9 −109−3601.28 75.3%48Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−9.5 −110−3911.26 75.9%48Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−9 −110−3601.28 75.3%48Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.