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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 7:45 PM ET · Final Southern Miss 8, Auburn 43

Southern Miss at Auburn

Auburn −29.5 at our first look, −33 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. SEC.

Conditions · Jordan-Hare Stadium: At kickoff: 85°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Southern Miss 0.0 · Auburn 0.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward Auburn.

Landed: Southern Miss 8, Auburn 43. Auburn covered the closing line (Auburn −33). The move toward Auburn was right. 51 points, under the closing total of 56.5.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Auburn Tigers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Auburn lineAuburn Tigers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Auburn.
−33−32−31−30−29Opening line−29.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−3.5Closing line−33
−33−32−31−30−29Opening line−29.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−3.5Closing line−33

Final: Southern Miss 8, Auburn 43. Auburn beat the closing number by 2.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−29.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 9:55 AM ET-3.5
Closing line−33
What moved the Auburn moneylineAuburn Tigers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Auburn.
−1900−2400−3233Opening line−1861Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−1861Price-only move−3025Closing line−3025
−1900−2400−3233Opening line−1861Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−1861Price-only move−3025Closing line−3025
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line94.9% (−1861)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 9:55 AM ET94.9% (−1861)
Price-only move96.8% (−3025)
Closing line96.8% (−3025)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
525354555657Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+4Closing line56.5
525354555657Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+4Closing line56.5

Final: 51 points, under the closing total of 56.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line52.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 7, 11:55 AM ET+4
Closing line56.5

Every Book · Auburn side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−33 −110−100001.01 96.8%56.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−32.5 −112−100001.01 96.8%56.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−32.5 −110−100001.01 96.1%56.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−32.5 −110−100001.01 96.8%56.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−32.5 −108—— —56Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−33 −110−90001.01 96.8%56.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−33.5 −110—— —57Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−33 −110—— —56Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−33 −105—— —56.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−33 −106—— —56Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−33 −110−442751.00 94.5%56Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−33 −110—— —56.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.