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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 3:30 PM ET · Final UL Monroe 20, UAB 26

UL Monroe at UAB

UAB −9.5 at our first look, −9.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. American Athletic.

Conditions · Protective Stadium: At kickoff: 89°F, wind 3 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: UL Monroe 0.0 · UAB 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: UL Monroe 20, UAB 26. UL Monroe covered the closing line (UAB −9.5). 46 points, under the closing total of 54.5.

UL Monroe Warhawks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

UAB Blazers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the UAB lineUAB Blazers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against UAB.
−10−9−8−7−6Opening line−9.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+3Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−3Closing line−9.5
−10−9−8−7−6Opening line−9.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+3Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−3Closing line−9.5

Final: UL Monroe 20, UAB 26. UAB missed the closing number by 3.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−9.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 1:55 PM ET+3
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET-3
Closing line−9.5
What moved the UAB moneylineUAB Blazers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward UAB.
−213−233−257−285Opening line−302Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM−212Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−302Closing line−297
−213−233−257−285Opening line−302Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM−212Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−302Closing line−297
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line75.1% (−302)
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 1:55 PM ET67.9% (−212)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET75.1% (−302)
Closing line74.8% (−297)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
52535455Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+1Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM+1Closing line54.5
52535455Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+1Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM+1Closing line54.5

Final: 46 points, under the closing total of 54.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line52.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 1:55 PM ET+1
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET+1
Closing line54.5

Every Book · UAB side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−9.5 −110−3601.28 74.8%54.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−9.5 −112−3601.28 75.1%54.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−8.5 −110−3601.28 74.8%54.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−9.5 −108−3501.29 74.7%54.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−9.5 −112−3601.28 75.1%54.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−9.5 −110−3751.27 75.5%54Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−9.5 −110−3351.30 72.7%54.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−9.5 −112−3501.29 74.7%53.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−9.5 −110−3801.26 75.5%54Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−9 −106−3501.29 74.7%53.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−9.5 −110−3801.26 75.5%54.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−9.5 −110−3501.29 74.7%54Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.