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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 3:45 PM ET · Final UNLV 6, North Texas 44

UNLV at North Texas

North Texas +6.5 at our first look, +3 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. American Athletic.

Conditions · DATCU Stadium: At kickoff: 102°F, wind 10 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: UNLV 0.0 · North Texas 0.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward North Texas.

Landed: UNLV 6, North Texas 44. North Texas covered the closing line (North Texas +3). The move toward North Texas was right. 50 points, under the closing total of 58.

UNLV Rebels 0.0

No news that moves the number.

North Texas Mean Green 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the North Texas lineNorth Texas Mean Green spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against North Texas.
+3+4+5+6+7Opening line+6.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−3Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM−0.5Closing line+3
+3+4+5+6+7Opening line+6.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−3Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM−0.5Closing line+3

Final: UNLV 6, North Texas 44. North Texas beat the closing number by 41.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+6.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 PM ET-3
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 5:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line+3
What moved the North Texas moneylineNorth Texas Mean Green moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward North Texas.
+186+150+122Opening line+212Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+135Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM+110Less than the spread implies+142Closing line+142
+186+150+122Opening line+212Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+135Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM+110Less than the spread implies+142Closing line+142
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line32.1% (+212)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 PM ET42.6% (+135)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 5:55 PM ET47.6% (+110)
Less than the spread implies41.4% (+142)
Closing line41.4% (+142)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
58596061Opening line60.5Market move, no reported newsFri 7:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−1.5Closing line58
58596061Opening line60.5Market move, no reported newsFri 7:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 AM−1.5Closing line58

Final: 50 points, under the closing total of 58.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line60.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 7:55 PM ET-1
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET-1.5
Closing line58

Every Book · North Texas side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3 −110+1302.30 41.4%58Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings+3 −110+1362.36 40.7%57.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel+3.5 −134+1262.26 42.3%58.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM+3 −110+1302.30 41.4%58.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars+3 −108+1362.36 40.7%57.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics+3 −110+1252.25 42.6%58.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers+2.5 −107+1202.20 43.2%58.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline+3 −107+1352.35 41.2%57.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada+3 −105+1352.35 40.9%58Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig+3 −103+1352.35 41.2%57.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie+3 −110+1292.29 41.6%58Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS+3 −110+1292.29 42.1%58Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.