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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 3:30 PM ET · Final Utah State 14, Washington 16

Utah State at Washington

Washington −24.5 at our first look, −28 at kickoff. Pac-12 vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Husky Stadium: At kickoff: 65°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Utah State 0.0 · Washington 0.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward Washington.

Landed: Utah State 14, Washington 16. Utah State covered the closing line (Washington −28). The move toward Washington was wrong. 30 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Utah State Aggies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Washington Huskies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Washington lineWashington Huskies spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Washington.
−28−27−26−25−24Opening line−24.5Market move, no reported newsSun 3:55 AM−3.5Closing line−28
−28−27−26−25−24Opening line−24.5Market move, no reported newsSun 3:55 AM−3.5Closing line−28

Final: Utah State 14, Washington 16. Washington missed the closing number by 26.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−24.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET-3.5
Closing line−28
What moved the Washington moneylineWashington Huskies moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Washington.
−1329−1567−1900Opening line−1462Market move, no reported newsSun 3:55 AM−1462Price-only move−1787Closing line−1787
−1329−1567−1900Opening line−1462Market move, no reported newsSun 3:55 AM−1462Price-only move−1787Closing line−1787
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line93.6% (−1462)
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 3:55 AM ET93.6% (−1462)
Price-only move94.7% (−1787)
Closing line94.7% (−1787)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
54555657Opening line54.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+2Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM−1Closing line55.5
54555657Opening line54.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+2Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM−1Closing line55.5

Final: 30 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line54.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 1:55 PM ET+2
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 9:55 PM ET-1
Closing line55.5

Every Book · Washington side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−28 −114−57501.02 94.7%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−28.5 −102−65001.02 95.4%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−27.5 −120−70001.01 95.4%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−28 −108−50001.02 95.0%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−28 −114−50001.02 94.3%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−28.5 −105−50001.02 95.4%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−28 −114−100001.01 95.2%56Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−28 −115−65001.02 94.4%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−28 −115−50001.02 93.2%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−28 −111−65001.02 94.4%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−28 −110−50001.02 93.3%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−28 −115—— —55.5Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.