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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 12:00 PM ET · Final Wake Forest 38, Purdue 36

Wake Forest at Purdue

Purdue +3.5 at our first look, +3 at kickoff. ACC vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Ross-Ade Stadium: At kickoff: 76°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Wake Forest 0.0 · Purdue 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Purdue.

Landed: Wake Forest 38, Purdue 36. Purdue covered the closing line (Purdue +3). The move toward Purdue was right. 74 points, over the closing total of 51.5.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Purdue Boilermakers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Purdue linePurdue Boilermakers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Purdue.
+3+4+5Opening line+3.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM−1.5Closing line+3
+3+4+5Opening line+3.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM−1.5Closing line+3

Final: Wake Forest 38, Purdue 36. Purdue beat the closing number by 1.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+3.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 5, 1:55 AM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 11:55 AM ET-1.5
Closing line+3
What moved the Purdue moneylinePurdue Boilermakers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Purdue.
+163+150+138+127+117Opening line+144Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM+158Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM+118Less than the spread implies+128Closing line+128
+163+150+138+127+117Opening line+144Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM+158Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM+118Less than the spread implies+128Closing line+128
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line40.9% (+144)
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 5, 1:55 AM ET38.8% (+158)
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 11:55 AM ET45.9% (+118)
Less than the spread implies43.8% (+128)
Closing line43.8% (+128)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
505152Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM+1Closing line51.5
505152Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM+1Closing line51.5

Final: 74 points, over the closing total of 51.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 5, 1:55 AM ET+1
Closing line51.5

Every Book · Purdue side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3 −118+1202.20 43.8%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings+3 −118+1202.20 43.7%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel+2.5 −102+1262.26 42.3%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM+3 −125+1202.20 43.4%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars+3 −120+1202.20 43.7%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics+3 −115+1202.20 43.4%51Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers+3 −118+1172.17 43.9%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline+3 −119+1152.15 44.7%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada+2.5 −105+1202.20 43.8%51Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig+3 −112+1152.15 44.7%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie+2.5 −110+1172.17 43.9%51Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS+3 −120+1152.15 44.7%51.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.