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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 12:00 PM ET · Final Akron 7, Minnesota 41

Akron at Minnesota

Minnesota −27.5 at our first look, −22.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Huntington Bank Stadium: At kickoff: 60°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Akron 0.0 · Minnesota 0.0. Market: moved 5 toward Akron.

Landed: Akron 7, Minnesota 41. Minnesota covered the closing line (Minnesota −22.5). The move toward Akron was wrong. 48 points, under the closing total of 48.5.

Akron Zips 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Minnesota Golden Gophers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Minnesota lineMinnesota Golden Gophers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Minnesota.
−28−27−26−25−24−23−22Opening line−27.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+3Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM+2Closing line−22.5
−28−26−24−22Opening line−27.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+3Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM+2Closing line−22.5

Final: Akron 7, Minnesota 41. Minnesota beat the closing number by 11.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−27.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET+3
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 15, 9:55 AM ET+2
Closing line−22.5
What moved the Minnesota moneylineMinnesota Golden Gophers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Minnesota.
−1329−1567−1900−2400Opening line−2281Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−2281Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM−2281Price-only move−1462Closing line−1462
−1329−1567−1900−2400Opening line−2281Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−2281Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM−2281Price-only move−1462Closing line−1462
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line95.8% (−2281)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET95.8% (−2281)
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 15, 9:55 AM ET95.8% (−2281)
Price-only move93.6% (−1462)
Closing line93.6% (−1462)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
484950Opening line49.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 AM−0.5Closing line48.5
484950Opening line49.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 AM−0.5Closing line48.5

Final: 48 points, under the closing total of 48.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 5:55 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 19, 1:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line48.5

Every Book · Minnesota side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−22.5 −110−38001.03 93.6%48.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−22.5 −112−32001.03 93.6%48.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−22.5 −120−40001.02 93.6%48.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−23 −108−30001.03 94.1%48.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−26.5 −113−100001.01 94.8%48.5Sun 1:55 PM
BetRivers−23 −110−100001.01 93.3%48.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−22.5 −110−38001.03 93.7%47.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−22.5 −110−33001.03 92.1%48.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−22.5 −106−38001.03 93.7%48.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−23 −110−50491.02 93.5%48.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−23 −110−38001.03 93.9%48Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.