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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 12:00 PM ET · Final Arizona State 24, Kansas 17

Arizona State at Kansas

Kansas −5.5 at our first look, −5 at kickoff. Big 12 game at a neutral site.

Conditions · Wembley Stadium: At kickoff: 69°F, wind 13 mph (gusts 26), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Arizona State 0.0 · Kansas 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Arizona State.

Landed: Arizona State 24, Kansas 17. Arizona State covered the closing line (Kansas −5). The move toward Arizona State was right. 41 points, under the closing total of 50.5.

Arizona State Sun Devils 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Kansas Jayhawks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Kansas lineKansas Jayhawks spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Kansas.
−6−5Opening line−5.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+0.5Closing line−5
−6−5Opening line−5.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+0.5Closing line−5

Final: Arizona State 24, Kansas 17. Kansas missed the closing number by 12.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−5.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line−5
What moved the Kansas moneylineKansas Jayhawks moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Kansas.
−170−178−186−194Opening line−188Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−173Less than the spread implies−191Closing line−191
−170−178−186−194Opening line−188Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−173Less than the spread implies−191Closing line−191
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line65.3% (−188)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET63.4% (−173)
Less than the spread implies65.6% (−191)
Closing line65.6% (−191)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5051525354555657Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 9:55 PM−4Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−2Closing line50.5
50525456Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 9:55 PM−4Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−2Closing line50.5

Final: 41 points, under the closing total of 50.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line56.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 12, 9:55 PM ET-4
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 1:55 PM ET-2
Closing line50.5

Every Book · Kansas side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−5 −110−2151.47 65.6%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−5.5 −105−2181.46 65.7%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−5.5 −110−2201.45 65.8%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−5 −105−2001.50 63.9%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−5.5 −112−2101.48 64.7%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−5.5 −110−2151.47 64.4%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−5 −110−2201.45 66.3%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−5 −115−2101.48 65.1%51Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−5 −106−2151.47 65.9%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−5 −110−2221.45 65.7%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−5 −110−2101.48 65.5%50.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.