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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 7:30 PM ET · Final BYU 41, Colorado State 23

8BYU at Colorado State

Colorado State +20.5 at our first look, +17.5 at kickoff. Big 12 vs. Pac-12.

Conditions · Canvas Stadium: At kickoff: 61°F, wind 15 mph (gusts 23), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: BYU 0.0 · Colorado State 0.0. Market: moved 3 toward Colorado State.

Landed: BYU 41, Colorado State 23. BYU covered the closing line (Colorado State +17.5). The move toward Colorado State was right. 64 points, over the closing total of 53.

BYU Cougars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Colorado State Rams 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Colorado State lineColorado State Rams spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Colorado State.
+17+18+19+20+21Opening line+20.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−3Closing line+17.5
+17+18+19+20+21Opening line+20.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−3Closing line+17.5

Final: BYU 41, Colorado State 23. Colorado State missed the closing number by 0.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+20.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 5:55 PM ET-3
Closing line+17.5
What moved the Colorado State moneylineColorado State Rams moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Colorado State.
+1011+900+809+733+669Opening line+931Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+931Price-only move+706Closing line+706
+1011+900+809+733+669Opening line+931Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+931Price-only move+706Closing line+706
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line9.7% (+931)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 5:55 PM ET9.7% (+931)
Price-only move12.4% (+706)
Closing line12.4% (+706)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5253Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsSat 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line53
5253Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsSat 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line53

Final: 64 points, over the closing total of 53.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line52.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 19, 5:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line53

Every Book · Colorado State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+17.5 −110+6757.75 12.4%53Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+17.5 −115+6257.25 13.2%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+17.5 −106+7608.60 11.1%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+17.5 −112+7008.00 12.1%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+17.5 −106+6757.75 12.4%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics+17.5 −115+6507.50 12.8%53Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers+17.5 −110+6007.00 13.6%53Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+17.5 −112+7098.09 11.9%53Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+17 −105+6507.50 12.7%53Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+17.5 −108+7098.09 11.9%53Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+17.5 −110+6357.35 13.0%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+17.5 −110+7008.00 12.0%53Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.