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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 6:00 PM ET · Final Charlotte 21, App State 26

Charlotte at App State

App State −19.5 at our first look, −16 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. Sun Belt.

Conditions · Kidd Brewer Stadium: At kickoff: 71°F, wind 6 mph (gusts 14), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Charlotte 0.0 · App State 0.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward Charlotte.

Landed: Charlotte 21, App State 26. Charlotte covered the closing line (App State −16). The move toward Charlotte was right. 47 points, under the closing total of 52.5.

Charlotte 49ers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

App State Mountaineers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the App State lineApp State Mountaineers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against App State.
−20−19−18−17−16Opening line−19.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+3.5Closing line−16
−20−19−18−17−16Opening line−19.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+3.5Closing line−16

Final: Charlotte 21, App State 26. App State missed the closing number by 11.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−19.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET+3.5
Closing line−16
What moved the App State moneylineApp State Mountaineers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward App State.
−669−733Opening line−658Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−658Price-only move−687Closing line−687
−669−733Opening line−658Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−658Price-only move−687Closing line−687
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line86.8% (−658)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET86.8% (−658)
Price-only move87.3% (−687)
Closing line87.3% (−687)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
51525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsFri 11:55 AM+1Closing line52.5
51525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsFri 11:55 AM+1Closing line52.5

Final: 47 points, under the closing total of 52.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 3:55 PM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 18, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line52.5

Every Book · App State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−16 −110−10001.10 87.3%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−15.5 −112−10001.10 87.2%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−16.5 −110−10001.10 87.1%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−16 −110−10001.10 87.6%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−17 −108−12501.08 88.1%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−16 −110−10001.10 87.4%53Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−16 −110−11001.09 87.3%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−16 −106−10001.10 87.4%53Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−16 −110−10001.10 86.6%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−15.5 −110−9501.11 86.9%53Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.