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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 12:30 PM ET · Final Eastern Michigan 10, Wisconsin 54

Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin

Wisconsin −24.5 at our first look, −23.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Camp Randall Stadium: At kickoff: 64°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Eastern Michigan 0.0 · Wisconsin 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Eastern Michigan.

Landed: Eastern Michigan 10, Wisconsin 54. Wisconsin covered the closing line (Wisconsin −23.5). The move toward Eastern Michigan was wrong. 64 points, over the closing total of 44.

Eastern Michigan Eagles 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Wisconsin Badgers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Wisconsin lineWisconsin Badgers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Wisconsin.
−25−24−23Opening line−24.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1Closing line−23.5
−25−24−23Opening line−24.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1Closing line−23.5

Final: Eastern Michigan 10, Wisconsin 54. Wisconsin beat the closing number by 20.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−24.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line−23.5
What moved the Wisconsin moneylineWisconsin Badgers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Wisconsin.
−1150−1329−1567Opening line−1462Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−1462Price-only move−1233Closing line−1233
−1150−1329−1567Opening line−1462Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−1462Price-only move−1233Closing line−1233
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line93.6% (−1462)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET93.6% (−1462)
Price-only move92.5% (−1233)
Closing line92.5% (−1233)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4445464748Opening line47.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−2Closing line44
4445464748Opening line47.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−2Closing line44

Final: 64 points, over the closing total of 44.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line47.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET-1.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET-2
Closing line44

Every Book · Wisconsin side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−23.5 −112−26001.04 92.5%44Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−23.5 −112−24001.04 92.6%44.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−23.5 −112−40001.02 93.6%44.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−23.5 −110−25001.04 93.5%44.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−23.5 −112−35001.03 93.2%44Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−23.5 −112−25001.04 91.4%44.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−23.5 −115−26001.04 92.5%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−23.5 −110−25001.04 91.4%44Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−23.5 −111−26001.04 92.5%43.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−23.5 −110−30301.03 92.2%44Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−23.5 −110−26001.04 92.6%43.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.