58 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 3:30 PM ET · Final Florida State 36, Alabama 50

Florida State at 6Alabama

Alabama −17.5 at our first look, −19.5 at kickoff. ACC vs. SEC.

Conditions · Bryant-Denny Stadium: At kickoff: 93°F, wind 7 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Florida State 0.0 · Alabama 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward Alabama.

Landed: Florida State 36, Alabama 50. Florida State covered the closing line (Alabama −19.5). The move toward Alabama was wrong. 86 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Florida State Seminoles 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Alabama Crimson Tide 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Alabama lineAlabama Crimson Tide spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Alabama.
−21−20−19−18−17Opening line−17.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−3Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM+1Closing line−19.5
−21−20−19−18−17Opening line−17.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−3Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM+1Closing line−19.5

Final: Florida State 36, Alabama 50. Alabama missed the closing number by 5.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−17.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 9:55 AM ET-3
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 7:55 PM ET+1
Closing line−19.5
What moved the Alabama moneylineAlabama Crimson Tide moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Alabama.
−669−733−809−900Opening line−658Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−658Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM−658Price-only move−871Closing line−871
−669−733−809−900Opening line−658Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−658Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM−658Price-only move−871Closing line−871
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line86.8% (−658)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 9:55 AM ET86.8% (−658)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 7:55 PM ET86.8% (−658)
Price-only move89.7% (−871)
Closing line89.7% (−871)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−1Closing line49.5
495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−1Closing line49.5

Final: 86 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 5:55 PM ET-1
Closing line49.5

Every Book · Alabama side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−19.5 −110−14001.07 89.7%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−19.5 −105−13501.07 89.3%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−19.5 −106−16001.06 90.0%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−19 −108−14001.07 90.7%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−19.5 −108−14501.07 89.9%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−19 −110−14001.07 89.9%50Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−19 −114−16671.06 90.0%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−19.5 −110−14001.07 89.7%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−18.5 −110−14001.07 88.8%50Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−19.5 −106−14001.07 89.7%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−19.5 −110−14421.07 89.1%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−19 −110−14001.07 89.6%50Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.