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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 7:00 PM ET · Final Florida 44, Auburn 39

16Florida at Auburn

Auburn +1.5 at our first look, +2.5 at kickoff. SEC game.

Conditions · Jordan-Hare Stadium: At kickoff: 79°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Florida 0.0 · Auburn 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Florida.

Landed: Florida 44, Auburn 39. Florida covered the closing line (Auburn +2.5). The move toward Florida was right. 83 points, over the closing total of 53.

Florida Gators 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Auburn Tigers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Auburn lineAuburn Tigers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Auburn.
+1+2+3Opening line+1.5Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 AM+1Closing line+2.5
+1+2+3Opening line+1.5Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 AM+1Closing line+2.5

Final: Florida 44, Auburn 39. Auburn missed the closing number by 2.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+1.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 10, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line+2.5
What moved the Auburn moneylineAuburn Tigers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Auburn.
+122+117+113+108+104−100Opening line+102Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 AM+111Price-only move+119Closing line+119
+122+117+113+108+104−100Opening line+102Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 AM+111Price-only move+119Closing line+119
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49.6% (+102)
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 10, 11:55 AM ET47.3% (+111)
Price-only move45.7% (+119)
Closing line45.7% (+119)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
525354Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+1Closing line53
525354Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+1Closing line53

Final: 83 points, over the closing total of 53.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 7:55 PM ET-1.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 9:55 AM ET+1
Closing line53

Every Book · Auburn side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+2.5 −110+1102.09 45.7%53Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+2.5 −115+1142.14 44.9%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+2.5 −115+1062.06 46.4%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+2 −108+1102.10 45.7%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+2.5 −113+1092.09 45.9%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers+2 −110+1082.08 45.6%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+1.5 −105+1082.08 46.1%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+2.5 −115+1202.20 43.8%53Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+1.5 −101+1082.08 46.1%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+2.5 −110+1112.11 45.2%53Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+2 −110+1102.10 45.7%53Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.