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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 7:00 PM ET · Final Georgia Southern 27, Jacksonville State 31

Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State −3 at our first look, −3.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. Conference USA.

Conditions · AmFirst Stadium: At kickoff: 81°F, wind 10 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Georgia Southern 0.0 · Jacksonville State 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Jacksonville State.

Landed: Georgia Southern 27, Jacksonville State 31. Jacksonville State covered the closing line (Jacksonville State −3.5). The move toward Jacksonville State was right. 58 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Georgia Southern Eagles 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Jacksonville State lineJacksonville State Gamecocks spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Jacksonville State.
−4−3Opening line−3Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM+0.5Closing line−3.5
−4−3Opening line−3Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM+0.5Closing line−3.5

Final: Georgia Southern 27, Jacksonville State 31. Jacksonville State beat the closing number by 0.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−3
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 3:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 3:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−3.5
What moved the Jacksonville State moneylineJacksonville State Gamecocks moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Jacksonville State.
−138−150−163−178Opening line−134Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−179Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−165Less than the spread implies−156Closing line−156
−138−150−163−178Opening line−134Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−179Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−165Less than the spread implies−156Closing line−156
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.2% (−134)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 3:55 PM ET64.1% (−179)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 3:55 PM ET62.3% (−165)
Less than the spread implies60.9% (−156)
Closing line60.9% (−156)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−1Closing line52.5
525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−1Closing line52.5

Final: 58 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 5:55 PM ET-1
Closing line52.5

Every Book · Jacksonville State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−3.5 −108−1751.57 60.9%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−3.5 −108−1751.57 60.9%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−3.5 −110−1701.59 60.2%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−3.5 −108−1751.57 60.9%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−3.5 −108−1621.62 58.5%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−3.5 −107−1751.57 61.7%52Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−3.5 −105−1751.57 61.4%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−3.5 −106−1751.57 61.7%52Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−3.5 −110−1811.55 61.3%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−3.5 −105−1701.59 60.8%52.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.