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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 12:00 PM ET · Final Georgia 45, Arkansas 17

2Georgia at Arkansas

Arkansas +16.5 at our first look, +24.5 at kickoff. SEC game.

Conditions · Razorback Stadium: At kickoff: 88°F, wind 11 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Georgia 0.0 · Arkansas 0.0. Market: moved 8 toward Georgia.

Landed: Georgia 45, Arkansas 17. Georgia covered the closing line (Arkansas +24.5). The move toward Georgia was right. 62 points, over the closing total of 54.5.

Georgia Bulldogs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Arkansas Razorbacks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Arkansas lineArkansas Razorbacks spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Arkansas.
+16+18+20+22+24Opening line+16.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+8Closing line+24.5
+16+18+20+22+24Opening line+16.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+8Closing line+24.5

Final: Georgia 45, Arkansas 17. Arkansas missed the closing number by 3.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+16.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 9:55 AM ET+8
Closing line+24.5
What moved the Arkansas moneylineArkansas Razorbacks moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Arkansas.
+1567+1150+900+733+614Opening line+609Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+609Price-only move+1415Closing line+1415
+1567+1150+900+733+614Opening line+609Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+609Price-only move+1415Closing line+1415
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line14.1% (+609)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 9:55 AM ET14.1% (+609)
Price-only move6.6% (+1415)
Closing line6.6% (+1415)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5253545556Opening line55.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−3Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+2Closing line54.5
5253545556Opening line55.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−3Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+2Closing line54.5

Final: 62 points, over the closing total of 54.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 7:55 PM ET-3
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 9:55 AM ET+2
Closing line54.5

Every Book · Arkansas side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+24.5 −110+135614.56 6.6%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings+24.5 −110+130014.00 6.9%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel+24.5 −105+150016.00 6.0%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM+24.5 −108+155016.50 5.9%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars+24.5 −106+130014.00 6.8%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics+25 −110+140015.00 6.5%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers+25.5 −113+140015.00 6.3%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline+25.5 −118+135614.56 6.6%54Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada+24.5 −105+115012.50 7.6%55Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig+24.5 −101+135614.56 6.6%54Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie+25 −110+119212.92 7.4%54Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS+25 −110+130014.00 6.9%54.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.