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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Friday, September 18, 8:00 PM ET · Final Houston 26, Texas Tech 28

22Houston at 11Texas Tech

Texas Tech −13.5 at our first look, −8 at kickoff. Big 12 game.

Conditions · Jones AT&T Stadium: At kickoff: 90°F, wind 11 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Houston 0.0 · Texas Tech 0.0. Market: moved 5.5 toward Houston.

Landed: Houston 26, Texas Tech 28. Houston covered the closing line (Texas Tech −8). The move toward Houston was right. 54 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Houston Cougars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Texas Tech Red Raiders 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Texas Tech lineTexas Tech Red Raiders spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Texas Tech.
−14−12−10−8Opening line−13.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+6.5Closing line−8
−14−12−10−8Opening line−13.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+6.5Closing line−8

Final: Houston 26, Texas Tech 28. Texas Tech missed the closing number by 6.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−13.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 7:55 PM ET-1
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 9:55 AM ET+6.5
Closing line−8
What moved the Texas Tech moneylineTexas Tech Red Raiders moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Texas Tech.
−233−300−400−567Opening line−446Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−510Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−223Less than the spread implies−276Closing line−276
−233−300−400−567Opening line−446Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−510Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−223Less than the spread implies−276Closing line−276
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line81.7% (−446)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 7:55 PM ET83.6% (−510)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 9:55 AM ET69.0% (−223)
Less than the spread implies73.4% (−276)
Closing line73.4% (−276)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
505152535455Opening line54.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−4Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+2Closing line52.5
505152535455Opening line54.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−4Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+2Closing line52.5

Final: 54 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line54.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 7:55 PM ET-4
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 11:55 AM ET+2
Closing line52.5

Every Book · Texas Tech side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−8 −110−3251.31 73.4%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
DraftKings−7.5 −112−3251.31 73.4%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
FanDuel−8.5 −108−3201.31 73.0%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
BetMGM−7.5 −112−3251.31 73.4%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
Caesars−7.5 −110−3251.31 73.4%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
Fanatics−8 −110−3401.29 74.1%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
BetRivers−7.5 −110−3151.32 71.8%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
BetOnline−8 −110−3401.29 74.3%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
Bovada−8.5 −110−3501.29 74.5%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
LowVig−8 −106−3401.29 74.3%52.5Fri 7:55 PM
MyBookie−8 −110−3401.29 73.6%53Thu 11:55 AM
BetUS−8 −110−3101.32 72.9%52.5Fri 7:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.