58 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 6:30 PM ET · Final Marshall 30, Missouri State 24

Marshall at Missouri State

Missouri State +4.5 at our first look, +4 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. Conference USA.

Conditions · Plaster Sports Complex: At kickoff: 96°F, wind 9 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Marshall 0.0 · Missouri State 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Missouri State.

Landed: Marshall 30, Missouri State 24. Marshall covered the closing line (Missouri State +4). The move toward Missouri State was wrong. 54 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Marshall Thundering Herd 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Missouri State Bears 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Missouri State lineMissouri State Bears spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Missouri State.
+3+4+5Opening line+4.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsWed 3:55 AM+0.5Closing line+4
+3+4+5Opening line+4.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsWed 3:55 AM+0.5Closing line+4

Final: Marshall 30, Missouri State 24. Missouri State missed the closing number by 2.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+4.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 3:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 3:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line+4
What moved the Missouri State moneylineMissouri State Bears moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Missouri State.
+170+163+156+150+144Opening line+160Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+147Market move, no reported newsWed 3:55 AM+158Less than the spread implies+170Closing line+170
+170+163+156+150+144Opening line+160Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+147Market move, no reported newsWed 3:55 AM+158Less than the spread implies+170Closing line+170
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line38.4% (+160)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 3:55 PM ET40.5% (+147)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 3:55 AM ET38.7% (+158)
Less than the spread implies37.1% (+170)
Closing line37.1% (+170)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
51525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM+1Closing line52.5
51525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM+1Closing line52.5

Final: 54 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 3:55 PM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 3:55 PM ET+1
Closing line52.5

Every Book · Missouri State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+4 −110+1602.60 37.1%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+4 −110+1602.60 36.9%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+4.5 −122+1462.46 38.8%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+4 −118+1552.55 37.4%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+4 −107+1532.53 38.0%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers+4 −109+1502.50 38.1%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+4 −110+1642.64 36.7%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+4 −110+1602.60 37.2%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+4 −106+1642.64 36.7%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+4 −110+1602.60 36.7%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+4 −110+1632.63 36.7%52.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.