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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 3:30 PM ET · Final Miami (OH) 31, Cincinnati 35

Miami (OH) at Cincinnati

Cincinnati −14.5 at our first look, −14.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. Big 12.

Conditions · Nippert Stadium: At kickoff: 87°F, wind 7 mph, rain.

The read at kickoff

News: Miami (OH) 0.0 · Cincinnati 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Miami (OH) 31, Cincinnati 35. Miami (OH) covered the closing line (Cincinnati −14.5). 66 points, over the closing total of 50.5.

Miami (OH) RedHawks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Cincinnati Bearcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Cincinnati lineCincinnati Bearcats spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Cincinnati.

−14.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

What moved the Cincinnati moneylineCincinnati Bearcats moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Cincinnati.
−488−525Opening line−525Price-only move−499Closing line−499
−488−525Opening line−525Price-only move−499Closing line−499
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line84.0% (−525)
Price-only move83.3% (−499)
Closing line83.3% (−499)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
48495051Opening line48.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+2Closing line50.5
48495051Opening line48.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+2Closing line50.5

Final: 66 points, over the closing total of 50.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line48.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET+2
Closing line50.5

Every Book · Cincinnati side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−14.5 −110−6501.15 83.3%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−14.5 −108−6501.15 83.2%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−14.5 −110−7801.13 84.8%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−14 −120−6501.15 83.9%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−15.5 −110−7501.13 84.7%49.5Fri 7:55 PM
BetRivers−15 −110−8351.12 84.8%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−14.5 −110−6501.15 83.3%51Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−14.5 −105−6751.15 83.0%50Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−14.5 −106−6501.15 83.3%51Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−14.5 −110−7251.14 83.8%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−14 −110−6001.17 82.5%50.5Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.