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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 10:30 PM ET · Final Northern Illinois 17, Arizona 42

Northern Illinois at Arizona

Arizona −35.5 at our first look, −34 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. Big 12.

Conditions · Arizona Stadium: At kickoff: 89°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Northern Illinois 0.0 · Arizona 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward Northern Illinois.

Landed: Northern Illinois 17, Arizona 42. Northern Illinois covered the closing line (Arizona −34). The move toward Northern Illinois was right. 59 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Northern Illinois Huskies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Arizona Wildcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Arizona lineArizona Wildcats spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Arizona.
−36−35−34Opening line−35.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+1Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line−34
−36−35−34Opening line−35.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+1Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line−34

Final: Northern Illinois 17, Arizona 42. Arizona missed the closing number by 9.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−35.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 3:55 PM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 5:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−34
What moved the Arizona moneylineArizona Wildcats moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Arizona.
−2400−3233Opening line−2841Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2841Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM−2841Closing line−2841
−2400−3233Opening line−2841Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2841Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM−2841Closing line−2841
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line96.6% (−2841)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 3:55 PM ET96.6% (−2841)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 5:55 PM ET96.6% (−2841)
Closing line96.6% (−2841)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−0.5Closing line49.5
495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−0.5Closing line49.5

Final: 59 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line49.5

Every Book · Arizona side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−34 −110−157501.01 96.6%49.5Sat 9:55 PM
DraftKings−34.5 −105−65001.02 95.4%49.5Sat 9:55 PM
FanDuel−34.5 −110—— —49.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetMGM−34 −110−250001.00 97.9%49.5Sat 9:55 PM
Caesars−34 −115—— —49.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetRivers−34.5 −112—— —50.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetOnline−34 −105—— —49.5Sat 9:55 PM
Bovada−34 −110—— —50Sat 9:55 PM
LowVig−34 −101—— —49.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetUS−33.5 −110—— —49.5Sat 9:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.