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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 7:00 PM ET · Final Ohio 36, South Alabama 41

Ohio at South Alabama

South Alabama −4.5 at our first look, −7 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. Sun Belt.

Conditions · Hancock Whitney Stadium: At kickoff: 90°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Ohio 0.0 · South Alabama 0.0. Market: moved 2.5 toward South Alabama.

Landed: Ohio 36, South Alabama 41. Ohio covered the closing line (South Alabama −7). The move toward South Alabama was wrong. 77 points, over the closing total of 48.5.

Ohio Bobcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

South Alabama Jaguars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the South Alabama lineSouth Alabama Jaguars spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against South Alabama.
−7−6−5−4Opening line−4.5Market move, no reported newsTue 3:55 AM−2.5Closing line−7
−7−6−5−4Opening line−4.5Market move, no reported newsTue 3:55 AM−2.5Closing line−7

Final: Ohio 36, South Alabama 41. South Alabama missed the closing number by 2.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−4.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 15, 3:55 AM ET-2.5
Closing line−7
What moved the South Alabama moneylineSouth Alabama Jaguars moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward South Alabama.
−163−178−194−213−233−257Opening line−160Market move, no reported newsTue 3:55 AM−251Less than the spread implies−228Closing line−228
−163−178−194−213−233−257Opening line−160Market move, no reported newsTue 3:55 AM−251Less than the spread implies−228Closing line−228
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line61.6% (−160)
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 15, 3:55 AM ET71.5% (−251)
Less than the spread implies69.5% (−228)
Closing line69.5% (−228)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
48495051525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsTue 7:55 PM−3Closing line48.5
48505254Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsTue 7:55 PM−3Closing line48.5

Final: 77 points, over the closing total of 48.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 7:55 PM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 15, 7:55 PM ET-3
Closing line48.5

Every Book · South Alabama side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7 −105−2601.38 69.5%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−7 −105−2701.37 70.0%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −115−2601.38 69.1%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−7 −105−2501.40 68.9%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−7 −106−2451.41 67.3%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−7 −105−2601.38 69.5%49Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−7 −110−2701.37 70.0%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−7 −101−2601.38 69.5%49Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−7 −110−2751.36 70.0%49Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−7 −105−2601.38 69.7%49Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.