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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Thursday, September 17, 7:30 PM ET · Final Syracuse 13, Pittsburgh 27

Syracuse at 25Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh −10.5 at our first look, −10 at kickoff. ACC game.

Conditions · Acrisure Stadium: At kickoff: 80°F, wind 4 mph (gusts 16), rain.

The read at kickoff

News: Syracuse 0.0 · Pittsburgh 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Syracuse.

Landed: Syracuse 13, Pittsburgh 27. Pittsburgh covered the closing line (Pittsburgh −10). The move toward Syracuse was wrong. 40 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Syracuse Orange 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Pittsburgh Panthers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Pittsburgh linePittsburgh Panthers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Pittsburgh.
−11−10Opening line−10.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line−10
−11−10Opening line−10.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line−10

Final: Syracuse 13, Pittsburgh 27. Pittsburgh beat the closing number by 4.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−10.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 17, 5:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−10
What moved the Pittsburgh moneylinePittsburgh Panthers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Pittsburgh.
−300−317−335−355Opening line−312Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−303Less than the spread implies−341Closing line−341
−300−317−335−355Opening line−312Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−303Less than the spread implies−341Closing line−341
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line75.7% (−312)
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 17, 5:55 PM ET75.2% (−303)
Less than the spread implies77.3% (−341)
Closing line77.3% (−341)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
505254565860Opening line59.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 9:55 PM−8.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+0.5Closing line51.5
505254565860Opening line59.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 9:55 PM−8.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+0.5Closing line51.5

Final: 40 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line59.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 12, 9:55 PM ET-8.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 11:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line51.5

Every Book · Pittsburgh side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−10 −115−4151.24 77.3%51.5Thu 5:55 PM
DraftKings−10.5 −108−4101.24 77.2%51.5Thu 5:55 PM
FanDuel−9.5 −118−3851.26 76.0%51.5Thu 5:55 PM
BetMGM−10 −120−4251.24 77.3%51.5Thu 5:55 PM
Caesars−10 −112−4201.24 77.2%51.5Thu 5:55 PM
BetRivers−10 −117−5001.20 78.2%51Thu 5:55 PM
BetOnline−10 −115−4151.24 77.5%51.5Thu 5:55 PM
Bovada−10.5 −110−4351.23 77.6%51.5Thu 5:55 PM
LowVig−10 −111−4151.24 77.5%51.5Thu 5:55 PM
MyBookie−10.5 −110−4611.22 78.3%51.5Thu 11:55 AM
BetUS−10 −115−4001.25 77.1%51.5Thu 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.