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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 7:00 PM ET · Final Troy 17, Missouri 27

Troy at 14Missouri

Missouri −27.5 at our first look, −27 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. SEC.

Conditions · Memorial Stadium: At kickoff: 89°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Troy 0.0 · Missouri 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Troy.

Landed: Troy 17, Missouri 27. Troy covered the closing line (Missouri −27). The move toward Troy was right. 44 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Troy Trojans 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Missouri Tigers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Missouri lineMissouri Tigers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Missouri.
−28−27Opening line−27.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM+0.5Closing line−27
−28−27Opening line−27.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM+0.5Closing line−27

Final: Troy 17, Missouri 27. Missouri missed the closing number by 17.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−27.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 7:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−27
What moved the Missouri moneylineMissouri Tigers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Missouri.
−1567−1900−2400Opening line−2281Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−2281Price-only move−1718Closing line−1718
−1567−1900−2400Opening line−2281Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−2281Price-only move−1718Closing line−1718
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line95.8% (−2281)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 7:55 PM ET95.8% (−2281)
Price-only move94.5% (−1718)
Closing line94.5% (−1718)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

49.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 1:55 PM ET.

Every Book · Missouri side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−27 −110−55001.02 94.5%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−27.5 −105−45001.02 94.6%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−26.5 −115−45001.02 94.3%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−27 −110−50001.02 95.1%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−27.5 −106−100001.01 94.8%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−27 −110−40001.02 94.9%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−27 −110−100001.01 94.7%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−27.5 −105−60001.02 94.3%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−27 −110−50001.02 93.2%50Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−27.5 −101−60001.02 94.3%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−27 −110−100991.01 93.9%50Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−27.5 −110—— —49.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.