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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 12:00 PM ET · Final Tulane 20, Kansas State 31

Tulane at Kansas State

Kansas State −19.5 at our first look, −20.5 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. Big 12.

Conditions · Bill Snyder Family Stadium: At kickoff: 89°F, wind 11 mph (gusts 21), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Tulane 0.0 · Kansas State 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Kansas State.

Landed: Tulane 20, Kansas State 31. Tulane covered the closing line (Kansas State −20.5). The move toward Kansas State was wrong. 51 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Tulane Green Wave 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Kansas State Wildcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Kansas State lineKansas State Wildcats spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Kansas State.
−21−20−19Opening line−19.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−0.5Closing line−20.5
−21−20−19Opening line−19.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−0.5Closing line−20.5

Final: Tulane 20, Kansas State 31. Kansas State missed the closing number by 9.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−19.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 7:55 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 1:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line−20.5
What moved the Kansas State moneylineKansas State Wildcats moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Kansas State.
−900−1011Opening line−964Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−964Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−964Price-only move−910Closing line−910
−900−1011Opening line−964Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−964Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−964Price-only move−910Closing line−910
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line90.6% (−964)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 7:55 PM ET90.6% (−964)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 1:55 PM ET90.6% (−964)
Price-only move90.1% (−910)
Closing line90.1% (−910)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Closing line49.5
495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Closing line49.5

Final: 51 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET-1
Closing line49.5

Every Book · Kansas State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−20.5 −110−14501.07 90.1%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−20.5 −108−14501.07 89.9%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−20.5 −110−20001.05 91.1%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−20 −110−14001.07 90.3%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−20.5 −112−17001.06 90.8%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−21 −109−25001.04 91.0%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−20.5 −110−14501.07 89.9%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−20.5 −105−14001.07 88.8%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−20.5 −106−14501.07 89.9%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−20 −110−16831.06 90.0%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−20.5 −110−14501.07 90.1%49.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.