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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 8:00 PM ET · Final UAB 14, Louisiana 21

UAB at Louisiana

Louisiana −8.5 at our first look, −7 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. Sun Belt.

Conditions · Cajun Field: At kickoff: 88°F, wind 3 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: UAB 0.0 · Louisiana 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward UAB.

Landed: UAB 14, Louisiana 21. A push at the closing line (Louisiana −7). The move toward UAB was right. 35 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

UAB Blazers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Louisiana lineLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Louisiana.
−9−8−7Opening line−8.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 PM+0.5Closing line−7
−9−8−7Opening line−8.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 PM+0.5Closing line−7

Final: UAB 14, Louisiana 21. Louisiana landed on the closing number.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−8.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 11:55 AM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 11:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−7
What moved the Louisiana moneylineLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Louisiana.
−223−233−245−257−270−285Opening line−288Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−248Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 PM−230Closing line−234
−223−233−245−257−270−285Opening line−288Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−248Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 PM−230Closing line−234
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line74.2% (−288)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 11:55 AM ET71.3% (−248)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 11:55 PM ET69.7% (−230)
Closing line70.1% (−234)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
55565758Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsThu 7:55 PM−1Closing line55.5
55565758Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsThu 7:55 PM−1Closing line55.5

Final: 35 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 17, 7:55 PM ET-1
Closing line55.5

Every Book · Louisiana side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7 −108−2701.37 70.1%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
DraftKings−7 −108−2781.36 70.5%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −120−2601.38 69.1%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
BetMGM−7 −108−2751.36 70.1%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
Caesars— —−3801.26 75.5%58.5Sun 1:55 PM
BetRivers−6.5 −121−2861.35 70.3%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
BetOnline−7 −110−2701.37 70.1%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
Bovada−7 −105−2601.38 69.5%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
LowVig−7 −106−2701.37 70.1%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
MyBookie−7 −110−2651.38 69.2%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
BetUS−7 −105−2701.37 70.3%56Sat 7:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.