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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 3:30 PM ET · Final Utah State 0, Utah 33

Utah State at 12Utah

Utah −28.5 at our first look, −27.5 at kickoff. Pac-12 vs. Big 12.

Conditions · Rice-Eccles Stadium: At kickoff: 68°F, wind 10 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Utah State 0.0 · Utah 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Utah State.

Landed: Utah State 0, Utah 33. Utah covered the closing line (Utah −27.5). The move toward Utah State was wrong. 33 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Utah State Aggies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Utah Utes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Utah lineUtah Utes spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Utah.
−29−28−27Opening line−28.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+0.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM+0.5Closing line−27.5
−29−28−27Opening line−28.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+0.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM+0.5Closing line−27.5

Final: Utah State 0, Utah 33. Utah beat the closing number by 5.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−28.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET+0.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 18, 3:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−27.5
What moved the Utah moneylineUtah Utes moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Utah.
−1900−2400Opening line−2281Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−2281Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−2281Price-only move−1823Closing line−1823
−1900−2400Opening line−2281Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−2281Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−2281Price-only move−1823Closing line−1823
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line95.8% (−2281)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET95.8% (−2281)
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 18, 3:55 PM ET95.8% (−2281)
Price-only move94.8% (−1823)
Closing line94.8% (−1823)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
55565758Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsTue 7:55 AM−1Closing line55.5
55565758Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsTue 7:55 AM−1Closing line55.5

Final: 33 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 13, 1:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 15, 7:55 AM ET-1
Closing line55.5

Every Book · Utah side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−27.5 −110−50001.02 94.8%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−27.5 −102−50001.02 94.9%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−27.5 −105−45001.02 94.3%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−26.5 −110−50001.02 95.1%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−27 −109−80001.01 94.8%55Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−27.5 −110−50001.02 95.4%55.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−27.5 −113—— —55.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−27 −110—— —56Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−27.5 −105−65001.02 93.2%56Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−27.5 −110−76921.01 93.9%56Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−27 −110—— —56Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.