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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 3 · Early Edition

College football · Week 3 · Saturday, September 19, 3:30 PM ET · Final UTEP 17, Michigan 52

UTEP at Michigan

Michigan −35.5 at our first look, −34.5 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Michigan Stadium: At kickoff: 61°F, wind 6 mph (gusts 17), rain.

The read at kickoff

News: UTEP 0.0 · Michigan 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward UTEP.

Landed: UTEP 17, Michigan 52. Michigan covered the closing line (Michigan −34.5). 69 points, over the closing total of 48.5.

UTEP Miners 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Michigan Wolverines 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Michigan lineMichigan Wolverines spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Michigan.
−36−35−34Opening line−35.5Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM+1Closing line−34.5
−36−35−34Opening line−35.5Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM+1Closing line−34.5

Final: UTEP 17, Michigan 52. Michigan beat the closing number by 0.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−35.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 15, 9:55 AM ET+1
Closing line−34.5
What moved the Michigan moneylineMichigan Wolverines moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Michigan.
−3233−4900Opening line−3604Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM−3604Price-only move−5163Closing line−5163
−3233−4900Opening line−3604Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM−3604Price-only move−5163Closing line−5163
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line97.3% (−3604)
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 15, 9:55 AM ET97.3% (−3604)
Price-only move98.1% (−5163)
Closing line98.1% (−5163)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

48.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

Every Book · Michigan side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−34.5 −114−500001.00 98.1%48.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−34.5 −112—— —48.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−34.5 −118—— —48.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−34.5 −118−500001.00 98.1%48.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−34.5 −114—— —48.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−34.5 −115—— —48.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−34.5 −115—— —48.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−34.5 −115—— —49Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−34.5 −110—— —48.5Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−34.5 −111—— —49Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−34.5 −110—— —48.5Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.