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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 7:30 PM ET · Final Arizona 34, Washington State 24

Arizona at Washington State

Washington State +12.5 at our first look, +10.5 at kickoff. Big 12 vs. Pac-12.

Conditions · Gesa Field: At kickoff: 58°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Arizona 0.0 · Washington State 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward Washington State.

Landed: Arizona 34, Washington State 24. Washington State covered the closing line (Washington State +10.5). The move toward Washington State was right. 58 points, over the closing total of 48.

Arizona Wildcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Washington State Cougars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Washington State lineWashington State Cougars spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Washington State.
+10+11+12+13Opening line+12.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−2.5Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM+0.5Closing line+10.5
+10+11+12+13Opening line+12.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−2.5Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM+0.5Closing line+10.5

Final: Arizona 34, Washington State 24. Washington State beat the closing number by 0.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+12.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 7:55 PM ET-2.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 1:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line+10.5
What moved the Washington State moneylineWashington State Cougars moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Washington State.
+400+355+317Opening line+424Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM+308Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM+315Less than the spread implies+344Closing line+344
+400+355+317Opening line+424Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM+308Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM+315Less than the spread implies+344Closing line+344
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line19.1% (+424)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 7:55 PM ET24.5% (+308)
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 1:55 PM ET24.1% (+315)
Less than the spread implies22.5% (+344)
Closing line22.5% (+344)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
47484950Opening line49.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line48
47484950Opening line49.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line48

Final: 58 points, over the closing total of 48.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 5:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line48

Every Book · Washington State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+10.5 −110+3274.27 22.5%48Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+10.5 −110+3204.20 22.8%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+10.5 −110+3304.30 22.3%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+10.5 −108+3204.20 22.7%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+10.5 −110+3204.20 22.8%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics+10.5 −115+3254.25 22.5%48.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+10.5 −112+3104.10 23.1%47.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+10.5 −105+3274.27 22.5%48Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+11 −110+3504.50 21.2%48Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+10.5 −101+3274.27 22.5%48Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+11 −110+3384.38 21.7%48Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+10.5 −110+3304.30 22.4%48Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.