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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 3:30 PM ET · Final Boise State 32, Western Michigan 7

23Boise State at Western Michigan

Western Michigan +7.5 at our first look, +7.5 at kickoff. Pac-12 vs. Mid-American.

Conditions · Waldo Stadium: At kickoff: 70°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Boise State 0.0 · Western Michigan 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Boise State 32, Western Michigan 7. Boise State covered the closing line (Western Michigan +7.5). 39 points, under the closing total of 50.5.

Boise State Broncos 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Western Michigan Broncos 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Western Michigan lineWestern Michigan Broncos spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Western Michigan.
+7+8Opening line+7.5Market move, no reported newsFri 1:55 AM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 PM−0.5Closing line+7.5
+7+8Opening line+7.5Market move, no reported newsFri 1:55 AM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 PM−0.5Closing line+7.5

Final: Boise State 32, Western Michigan 7. Western Michigan missed the closing number by 17.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+7.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 18, 1:55 AM ET+0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line+7.5
What moved the Western Michigan moneylineWestern Michigan Broncos moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Western Michigan.
+285+270+257+245Opening line+255Market move, no reported newsFri 1:55 AM+276Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 PM+255Closing line+251
+285+270+257+245Opening line+255Market move, no reported newsFri 1:55 AM+276Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 PM+255Closing line+251
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line28.2% (+255)
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 18, 1:55 AM ET26.6% (+276)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 PM ET28.2% (+255)
Closing line28.5% (+251)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4748495051Opening line47.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+1Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+2Closing line50.5
4748495051Opening line47.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+1Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+2Closing line50.5

Final: 39 points, under the closing total of 50.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line47.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 5:55 PM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 22, 1:55 PM ET+2
Closing line50.5

Every Book · Western Michigan side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+7.5 −116+2373.37 28.5%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings+7.5 −118+2303.30 29.0%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel+7.5 −120+2303.30 29.0%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM+7 −105+2403.40 28.3%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars+7.5 −118+2353.35 28.6%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics+7 −105+2253.25 29.5%48.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+7.5 −117+2303.30 28.7%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline+7.5 −116+2373.37 28.5%50Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada+7.5 −115+2503.50 27.6%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig+7.5 −112+2373.37 28.5%50Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie+7.5 −110+2403.40 28.0%50.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS+7.5 −115+2403.40 28.3%50.5Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.