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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 6:30 PM ET · Final Central Michigan 3, Miami 52

Central Michigan at 4Miami

Miami −42.5 at our first look, −41.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. ACC.

Conditions · Hard Rock Stadium: At kickoff: 83°F, wind 5 mph (gusts 17), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Central Michigan 0.0 · Miami 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Central Michigan.

Landed: Central Michigan 3, Miami 52. Miami covered the closing line (Miami −41.5). The move toward Central Michigan was wrong. 55 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Central Michigan Chippewas 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Miami Hurricanes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Miami lineMiami Hurricanes spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Miami.
−43−42−41Opening line−42.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Closing line−41.5
−43−42−41Opening line−42.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Closing line−41.5

Final: Central Michigan 3, Miami 52. Miami beat the closing number by 7.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−42.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line−41.5
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
525354Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 AM−1Closing line52.5
525354Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 AM−1Closing line52.5

Final: 55 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 5:55 AM ET-1
Closing line52.5

Every Book · Miami side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−41.5 −112—— —52.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−41.5 −112—— —52.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−41.5 −114—— —52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−41.5 −110—— —52.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−41.5 −109—— —53.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics−41.5 −115—— —53Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−41.5 −110—— —53.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−41.5 −115—— —52.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−41 −110—— —52.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−41.5 −111—— —52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−42 −115—— —52.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.