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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 12:00 PM ET · Final Colorado State 45, UTSA 59

Colorado State at UTSA

UTSA −12.5 at our first look, −14.5 at kickoff. Pac-12 vs. American Athletic.

Conditions · Alamodome: Indoors.

The read at kickoff

News: Colorado State 0.0 · UTSA 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward UTSA.

Landed: Colorado State 45, UTSA 59. Colorado State covered the closing line (UTSA −14.5). The move toward UTSA was right. 104 points, over the closing total of 56.5.

Colorado State Rams 0.0

No news that moves the number.

UTSA Roadrunners 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the UTSA lineUTSA Roadrunners spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against UTSA.
−15−14−13−12Opening line−12.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−2Closing line−14.5
−15−14−13−12Opening line−12.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−2Closing line−14.5

Final: Colorado State 45, UTSA 59. UTSA missed the closing number by 0.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−12.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET-2
Closing line−14.5
What moved the UTSA moneylineUTSA Roadrunners moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward UTSA.
−426−456−488−525Opening line−424Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−499Closing line−499
−426−456−488−525Opening line−424Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−499Closing line−499
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line80.9% (−424)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET83.3% (−499)
Closing line83.3% (−499)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
56575859Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+2Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−2Closing line56.5
56575859Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+2Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−2Closing line56.5

Final: 104 points, over the closing total of 56.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line56.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET+2
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 3:55 PM ET-2
Closing line56.5

Every Book · UTSA side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−14.5 −110−6501.15 83.3%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−14.5 −105−6751.15 83.7%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−14.5 −108−6901.14 83.5%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−14.5 −110−6501.15 83.9%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−12.5 −112−5001.20 80.3%59Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics−13 −110−5251.19 80.5%58.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers−15 −110−7151.14 83.6%57.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−14 −118−6501.15 83.3%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−14 −120−6501.15 82.7%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−14 −114−6501.15 83.3%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−14.5 −110−6761.15 83.0%57Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−14.5 −110−6501.15 83.3%57Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.