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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 6:00 PM ET · Final Delaware 3, Virginia 42

Delaware at Virginia

Virginia −20.5 at our first look, −20 at kickoff. Conference USA vs. ACC.

Conditions · Scott Stadium: At kickoff: 76°F, wind 12 mph (gusts 31), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Delaware 0.0 · Virginia 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Delaware.

Landed: Delaware 3, Virginia 42. Virginia covered the closing line (Virginia −20). The move toward Delaware was wrong. 45 points, under the closing total of 52.5.

Delaware Blue Hens 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Virginia Cavaliers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Virginia lineVirginia Cavaliers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Virginia.
−21−20Opening line−20.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM+0.5Closing line−20
−21−20Opening line−20.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM+0.5Closing line−20

Final: Delaware 3, Virginia 42. Virginia beat the closing number by 19.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−20.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−20
What moved the Virginia moneylineVirginia Cavaliers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Virginia.
−809−900−1011Opening line−931Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM−931Price-only move−871Closing line−871
−809−900−1011Opening line−931Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM−931Price-only move−871Closing line−871
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line90.3% (−931)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 PM ET90.3% (−931)
Price-only move89.7% (−871)
Closing line89.7% (−871)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5253545556Opening line55.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−3Closing line52.5
5253545556Opening line55.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−3Closing line52.5

Final: 45 points, under the closing total of 52.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET-3
Closing line52.5

Every Book · Virginia side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−20 −110−14001.07 89.7%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−19.5 −115−14501.07 89.9%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−20.5 −105−16001.06 90.0%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−20 −108−14001.07 90.3%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−20.5 −110−17001.06 90.0%51.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics−20 −110−13001.08 89.3%52.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers−19.5 −110−16671.06 89.5%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−20 −110−14001.07 89.7%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−20 −110−14001.07 88.8%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−20 −106−14001.07 89.7%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−20 −110−16991.06 90.1%52.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−20 −110−14001.07 89.6%52Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.