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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 8:00 PM ET · Final Florida Atlantic 45, UL Monroe 17

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

UL Monroe +13.5 at our first look, +12 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. Sun Belt.

Conditions · Malone Stadium: At kickoff: 78°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Florida Atlantic 0.0 · UL Monroe 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward UL Monroe.

Landed: Florida Atlantic 45, UL Monroe 17. Florida Atlantic covered the closing line (UL Monroe +12). The move toward UL Monroe was wrong. 62 points, over the closing total of 58.

Florida Atlantic Owls 0.0

No news that moves the number.

UL Monroe Warhawks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the UL Monroe lineUL Monroe Warhawks spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against UL Monroe.
+12+13+14Opening line+13.5Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 PM−1.5Closing line+12
+12+13+14Opening line+13.5Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 PM−1.5Closing line+12

Final: Florida Atlantic 45, UL Monroe 17. UL Monroe missed the closing number by 16.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+13.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 9:55 PM ET-1.5
Closing line+12
What moved the UL Monroe moneylineUL Monroe Warhawks moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward UL Monroe.
+488+456+426+400+376Opening line+465Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 PM+376Closing line+383
+488+456+426+400+376Opening line+465Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 PM+376Closing line+383
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line17.7% (+465)
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 9:55 PM ET21.0% (+376)
Closing line20.7% (+383)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
575859Opening line58.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 PM+0.5Closing line58
575859Opening line58.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 PM+0.5Closing line58

Final: 62 points, over the closing total of 58.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line58.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 7:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 9:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line58

Every Book · UL Monroe side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+12 −110+3644.64 20.7%58Sat 7:55 PM
DraftKings+11.5 −105+3704.70 20.4%58.5Sat 7:55 PM
FanDuel+11.5 −106+3654.65 20.6%58.5Sat 7:55 PM
BetMGM+12.5 −118+3754.75 20.3%58.5Sat 7:55 PM
Caesars+13.5 −112+4005.00 19.2%57.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics+13.5 −105+4105.10 18.8%57.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+11.5 −112+3604.60 20.4%58.5Sat 7:55 PM
BetOnline+12 −105+3644.64 20.7%58Sat 7:55 PM
Bovada+11.5 −110+3604.60 20.7%58Sat 7:55 PM
LowVig+12 −101+3644.64 20.7%58Sat 7:55 PM
MyBookie+12 −110+3504.50 21.2%58Sat 7:55 PM
BetUS+12 −110+3604.60 20.9%58Sat 7:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.