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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 3:00 PM ET · Final Hawai'i 10, Wyoming 27

Hawai'i at Wyoming

Wyoming +5.5 at our first look, +2 at kickoff. Mountain West game.

Conditions · War Memorial Stadium: At kickoff: 72°F, wind 13 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Hawai'i 0.0 · Wyoming 0.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward Wyoming.

Landed: Hawai'i 10, Wyoming 27. Wyoming covered the closing line (Wyoming +2). The move toward Wyoming was right. 37 points, under the closing total of 44.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Wyoming Cowboys 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Wyoming lineWyoming Cowboys spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Wyoming.
+2+3+4+5+6Opening line+5.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2.5Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 PM−1Closing line+2
+2+3+4+5+6Opening line+5.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2.5Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 PM−1Closing line+2

Final: Hawai'i 10, Wyoming 27. Wyoming beat the closing number by 19.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+5.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 3:55 PM ET-2.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 11:55 PM ET-1
Closing line+2
What moved the Wyoming moneylineWyoming Cowboys moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Wyoming.
+186+150+122−100Opening line+184Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+116Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 PM+104Less than the spread implies+114Closing line+114
+186+150+122−100Opening line+184Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+116Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 PM+104Less than the spread implies+114Closing line+114
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line35.2% (+184)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 3:55 PM ET46.2% (+116)
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 11:55 PM ET49.0% (+104)
Less than the spread implies46.8% (+114)
Closing line46.8% (+114)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
444546Opening line45.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 PM−1.5Closing line44
444546Opening line45.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 PM−1.5Closing line44

Final: 37 points, under the closing total of 44.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line45.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 11:55 PM ET-1.5
Closing line44

Every Book · Wyoming side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+2 −110+1052.05 46.8%44Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings+2.5 −115+1052.05 46.8%43.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel+2.5 −110+1062.06 46.4%44.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM+2 −108+1052.05 46.8%44.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars+3 −107+1382.38 40.3%45.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics+3 −105+1352.35 40.9%45.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+1 −112−1071.93 49.1%43.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline+2 −112+1052.05 46.8%44.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada+2 −110+1052.05 46.8%44Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig+2 −108+1052.05 46.8%44.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie+2 −110+1052.05 46.5%44Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS+2 −110+1052.05 46.8%44Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.