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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 4:00 PM ET · Final Houston 42, Georgia Southern 28

22Houston at Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern +20.5 at our first look, +17 at kickoff. Big 12 vs. Sun Belt.

Conditions · Allen E. Paulson Stadium: At kickoff: 82°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Houston 0.0 · Georgia Southern 0.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward Georgia Southern.

Landed: Houston 42, Georgia Southern 28. Georgia Southern covered the closing line (Georgia Southern +17). The move toward Georgia Southern was right. 70 points, over the closing total of 56.5.

Houston Cougars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Georgia Southern Eagles 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Georgia Southern lineGeorgia Southern Eagles spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Georgia Southern.
+17+18+19+20+21Opening line+20.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−3Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−0.5Closing line+17
+17+18+19+20+21Opening line+20.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−3Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−0.5Closing line+17

Final: Houston 42, Georgia Southern 28. Georgia Southern beat the closing number by 3.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+20.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET-3
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 11:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line+17
What moved the Georgia Southern moneylineGeorgia Southern Eagles moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Georgia Southern.
+900+809+733+669Opening line+900Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+900Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+900Price-only move+663Closing line+663
+900+809+733+669Opening line+900Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+900Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+900Price-only move+663Closing line+663
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line10.0% (+900)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET10.0% (+900)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 11:55 AM ET10.0% (+900)
Price-only move13.1% (+663)
Closing line13.1% (+663)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
54555657Opening line54.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+1.5Closing line56.5
54555657Opening line54.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+1.5Closing line56.5

Final: 70 points, over the closing total of 56.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line54.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 5:55 PM ET+0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 5:55 PM ET+1.5
Closing line56.5

Every Book · Georgia Southern side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+17 −110+6327.33 13.1%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
DraftKings+17.5 −112+6257.25 13.2%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
FanDuel+17.5 −110+6407.40 12.9%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetMGM+17.5 −120+6507.50 12.9%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
Caesars+18.5 −110+6507.50 12.8%54.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics+17 −110+6507.50 12.8%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetRivers+17.5 −110+6007.00 13.5%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetOnline+17 −110+6617.61 12.6%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
Bovada+17 −110+6007.00 13.6%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
LowVig+17 −106+6617.61 12.6%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
MyBookie+17 −110+5906.90 13.8%56.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetUS+17 −110+6007.00 13.7%56.5Sat 3:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.