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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 6:00 PM ET · Final James Madison 46, Old Dominion 20

James Madison at Old Dominion

Old Dominion +3.5 at our first look, +7 at kickoff. Sun Belt game.

Conditions · S.B. Ballard Stadium: At kickoff: 65°F, wind 14 mph (gusts 32), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: James Madison 0.0 · Old Dominion 0.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward James Madison.

Landed: James Madison 46, Old Dominion 20. James Madison covered the closing line (Old Dominion +7). The move toward James Madison was right. 66 points, over the closing total of 44.5.

James Madison Dukes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Old Dominion Monarchs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Old Dominion lineOld Dominion Monarchs spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Old Dominion.
+3+4+5+6+7Opening line+3.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+2.5Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM+1Closing line+7
+3+4+5+6+7Opening line+3.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+2.5Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM+1Closing line+7

Final: James Madison 46, Old Dominion 20. Old Dominion missed the closing number by 19.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+3.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET+2.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 26, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line+7
What moved the Old Dominion moneylineOld Dominion Monarchs moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Old Dominion.
+233+186+150Opening line+138Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+192Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM+234Less than the spread implies+229Closing line+229
+233+186+150Opening line+138Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+192Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM+234Less than the spread implies+229Closing line+229
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line42.0% (+138)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET34.2% (+192)
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 26, 11:55 AM ET29.9% (+234)
Less than the spread implies30.4% (+229)
Closing line30.4% (+229)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4446485052Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−4Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−3Closing line44.5
4446485052Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−4Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−3Closing line44.5

Final: 66 points, over the closing total of 44.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET-4
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 5:55 PM ET-3
Closing line44.5

Every Book · Old Dominion side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+7 −110+2153.15 30.4%44.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+7 −112+2153.15 30.4%44.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+6.5 +100+2103.10 30.9%44.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+7 −110+2203.20 29.9%44.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+6 −110+1852.85 33.6%48Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics+6 −110+1852.85 33.6%45Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+7 −118+2103.10 30.5%43.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+7 −108+2223.22 29.9%44.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+7 −110+2153.15 30.5%44.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+7 −104+2223.22 29.9%44.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+7 −110+1892.89 32.9%44Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+7 −110+2253.25 29.7%44Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.