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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 7:00 PM ET · Final Kansas State 26, Cincinnati 31

Kansas State at Cincinnati

Cincinnati +6.5 at our first look, +6.5 at kickoff. Big 12 game.

Conditions · Nippert Stadium: At kickoff: 72°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Kansas State 0.0 · Cincinnati 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Kansas State 26, Cincinnati 31. Cincinnati covered the closing line (Cincinnati +6.5). 57 points, over the closing total of 55.

Kansas State Wildcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Cincinnati Bearcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Cincinnati lineCincinnati Bearcats spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Cincinnati.

+6.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

What moved the Cincinnati moneylineCincinnati Bearcats moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Cincinnati.
+233+223+212+203Opening line+229Price-only move+204Closing line+204
+233+223+212+203Opening line+229Price-only move+204Closing line+204
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line30.4% (+229)
Price-only move32.9% (+204)
Closing line32.9% (+204)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
535455Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM+1.5Closing line55
535455Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM+1.5Closing line55

Final: 57 points, over the closing total of 55.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 9:55 AM ET+1.5
Closing line55

Every Book · Cincinnati side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+6.5 −111+1922.92 32.9%55Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+6.5 −112+1852.85 33.6%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+6.5 −110+1952.95 32.4%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+6.5 −110+1902.90 33.0%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+6.5 −113+1952.95 32.6%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics+6.5 −110+1902.90 33.0%55.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+6 −113+1952.95 32.2%55.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+6.5 −116+1922.92 32.9%55Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+6 −110+1902.90 33.1%55Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+6.5 −112+1922.92 32.9%55Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+6 −110+1892.89 32.9%55Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+6 −110+1952.95 32.7%55Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.