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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 6:30 PM ET · Final Louisiana 34, Charlotte 7

Louisiana at Charlotte

Charlotte +13.5 at our first look, +9.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. American Athletic.

Conditions · Jerry Richardson Stadium: At kickoff: 78°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Louisiana 0.0 · Charlotte 0.0. Market: moved 4 toward Charlotte.

Landed: Louisiana 34, Charlotte 7. Louisiana covered the closing line (Charlotte +9.5). The move toward Charlotte was wrong. 41 points, under the closing total of 49.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Charlotte 49ers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Charlotte lineCharlotte 49ers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Charlotte.
+9+10+11+12+13+14Opening line+13.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−3Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−1Closing line+9.5
+9+10+11+12+13+14Opening line+13.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−3Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−1Closing line+9.5

Final: Louisiana 34, Charlotte 7. Charlotte missed the closing number by 17.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+13.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET-3
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET-1
Closing line+9.5
What moved the Charlotte moneylineCharlotte 49ers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Charlotte.
+456+400+355+317+285Opening line+485Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+317Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+292Less than the spread implies+322Closing line+322
+456+400+355+317+285Opening line+485Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+317Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+292Less than the spread implies+322Closing line+322
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line17.1% (+485)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET24.0% (+317)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET25.5% (+292)
Less than the spread implies23.7% (+322)
Closing line23.7% (+322)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
49505152Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM−0.5Closing line49
49505152Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM−0.5Closing line49

Final: 41 points, under the closing total of 49.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 7:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line49

Every Book · Charlotte side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+9.5 −110+3004.00 23.7%49Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+9.5 −112+2953.95 24.3%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+10.5 −122+3104.10 23.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+9.5 −110+3104.10 23.6%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+10.5 −108+3304.30 22.4%49.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics+10.5 −115+3254.25 22.5%49Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+9.5 −112+3004.00 23.6%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+9.5 −110+3064.06 23.7%49Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+9 −110+3004.00 23.8%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+9.5 −106+3064.06 23.7%49Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+9 −110+2823.82 24.9%49Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+9.5 −110+2803.80 25.3%49Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.