58 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 7:00 PM ET · Final Middle Tennessee 13, Jacksonville State 23

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State −8.5 at our first look, −7 at kickoff. Conference USA game.

Conditions · AmFirst Stadium: At kickoff: 77°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Middle Tennessee 0.0 · Jacksonville State 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward Middle Tennessee.

Landed: Middle Tennessee 13, Jacksonville State 23. Jacksonville State covered the closing line (Jacksonville State −7). The move toward Middle Tennessee was wrong. 36 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Jacksonville State lineJacksonville State Gamecocks spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Jacksonville State.
−9−8−7Opening line−8.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1.5Closing line−7
−9−8−7Opening line−8.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1.5Closing line−7

Final: Middle Tennessee 13, Jacksonville State 23. Jacksonville State beat the closing number by 3.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−8.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 11:55 AM ET+1.5
Closing line−7
What moved the Jacksonville State moneylineJacksonville State Gamecocks moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Jacksonville State.
−223−233−245−257−270−285Opening line−282Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−226Less than the spread implies−247Closing line−247
−223−233−245−257−270−285Opening line−282Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−226Less than the spread implies−247Closing line−247
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line73.8% (−282)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 11:55 AM ET69.3% (−226)
Less than the spread implies71.2% (−247)
Closing line71.2% (−247)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
51525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−2Closing line51.5
51525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−2Closing line51.5

Final: 36 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 5:55 PM ET-2
Closing line51.5

Every Book · Jacksonville State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7 −113−2851.35 71.2%51.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−7 −115−2851.35 71.0%51.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−7.5 −104−2951.34 71.4%51.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−7.5 −108−2851.35 71.0%51.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−7.5 −105−3101.32 72.0%51.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics−7 −115−3001.33 71.8%51Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers−7 −113−2861.35 70.3%51.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−7 −116−2851.35 71.2%51.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−7 −120−3001.33 72.4%51.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−7 −112−2851.35 71.2%51.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−7.5 −110−3101.32 72.1%51Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−7 −115−2851.35 71.4%51Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.