58 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 3:30 PM ET · Final New Mexico 42, New Mexico State 18

New Mexico at New Mexico State

New Mexico State +13.5 at our first look, +11.5 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. Conference USA.

Conditions · Aggie Memorial Stadium: At kickoff: 84°F, wind 3 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: New Mexico 0.0 · New Mexico State 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward New Mexico State.

Landed: New Mexico 42, New Mexico State 18. New Mexico covered the closing line (New Mexico State +11.5). The move toward New Mexico State was wrong. 60 points, over the closing total of 47.5.

New Mexico Lobos 0.0

No news that moves the number.

New Mexico State Aggies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the New Mexico State lineNew Mexico State Aggies spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against New Mexico State.
+11+12+13+14Opening line+13.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−1Closing line+11.5
+11+12+13+14Opening line+13.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−1Closing line+11.5

Final: New Mexico 42, New Mexico State 18. New Mexico State missed the closing number by 12.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+13.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 5:55 PM ET-1
Closing line+11.5
What moved the New Mexico State moneylineNew Mexico State Aggies moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward New Mexico State.
+456+400+355Opening line+465Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM+410Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+346Less than the spread implies+376Closing line+376
+456+400+355Opening line+465Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 PM+410Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+346Less than the spread implies+376Closing line+376
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line17.7% (+465)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 PM ET19.6% (+410)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 5:55 PM ET22.4% (+346)
Less than the spread implies21.0% (+376)
Closing line21.0% (+376)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4748495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM−1Closing line47.5
4748495051Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM−1Closing line47.5

Final: 60 points, over the closing total of 47.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 26, 9:55 AM ET-1
Closing line47.5

Every Book · New Mexico State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+11.5 −110+3554.55 21.0%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings+11.5 −110+3504.50 21.3%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel+11.5 −110+3754.75 20.2%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM+11 −108+3604.60 21.0%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars+12 −109+3804.80 20.0%48.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics+11 −110+3604.60 20.8%48.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+12 −113+4005.00 19.0%48.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline+11.5 −115+3504.50 21.4%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada+11 −110+3554.55 20.9%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig+11.5 −111+3504.50 21.4%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie+11.5 −110+3704.70 20.2%48Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS+11.5 −110+3554.55 21.2%48Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.