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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 2:00 PM ET · Final Notre Dame 49, Purdue 10

3Notre Dame at Purdue

Purdue +27.5 at our first look, +27.5 at kickoff. FBS Independents vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Ross-Ade Stadium: At kickoff: 70°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Notre Dame 0.0 · Purdue 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Notre Dame 49, Purdue 10. Notre Dame covered the closing line (Purdue +27.5). 59 points, over the closing total of 57.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Purdue Boilermakers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Purdue linePurdue Boilermakers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Purdue.
+27+28Opening line+27.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 1:55 PM+0.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−0.5Closing line+27.5
+27+28Opening line+27.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 1:55 PM+0.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−0.5Closing line+27.5

Final: Notre Dame 49, Purdue 10. Purdue missed the closing number by 11.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+27.5
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET+0.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 22, 11:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line+27.5
What moved the Purdue moneylinePurdue Boilermakers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Purdue.
+1900+1567Opening line+1861Reaction to last week's gameMon 1:55 PM+1861Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM+1861Price-only move+1654Closing line+1654
+1900+1567Opening line+1861Reaction to last week's gameMon 1:55 PM+1861Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM+1861Price-only move+1654Closing line+1654
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line5.1% (+1861)
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET5.1% (+1861)
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 22, 11:55 AM ET5.1% (+1861)
Price-only move5.7% (+1654)
Closing line5.7% (+1654)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
565758Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsTue 3:55 PM−0.5Closing line57
565758Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsTue 3:55 PM−0.5Closing line57

Final: 59 points, over the closing total of 57.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line56.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 22, 3:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line57

Every Book · Purdue side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+27.5 −110+160017.00 5.7%57Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings+27.5 −110+170018.00 5.4%57.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel+27.5 −110+160017.00 5.7%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM+27 −108+190020.00 4.9%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars+27 −104+160017.00 5.7%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics+27.5 −110+180019.00 5.1%57Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers+27.5 −114+160017.00 5.6%57.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline+27 −105+159216.92 5.7%57Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada+27.5 −110+130014.00 6.8%57Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig+27 −101+159216.92 5.7%57Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie+27.5 −110+135514.55 6.5%57Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS+27 −110—— —57Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.