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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 7:00 PM ET · Final Oklahoma State 41, West Virginia 24

18Oklahoma State at West Virginia

West Virginia +2.5 at our first look, −2 at kickoff. Big 12 game.

Conditions · Milan Puskar Stadium: At kickoff: 66°F, wind 5 mph (gusts 15), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Oklahoma State 0.0 · West Virginia 0.0. Market: moved 4.5 toward West Virginia.

Landed: Oklahoma State 41, West Virginia 24. Oklahoma State covered the closing line (West Virginia −2). The move toward West Virginia was wrong. 65 points, over the closing total of 60.5.

Oklahoma State Cowboys 0.0

No news that moves the number.

West Virginia Mountaineers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the West Virginia lineWest Virginia Mountaineers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against West Virginia.
−2−1PK+1+2+3Opening line+2.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−4Market move, no reported newsFri 7:55 AM−0.5Closing line−2
−2−1PK+1+2+3Opening line+2.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−4Market move, no reported newsFri 7:55 AM−0.5Closing line−2

Final: Oklahoma State 41, West Virginia 24. West Virginia missed the closing number by 19.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+2.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET-4
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 25, 7:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line−2
What moved the West Virginia moneylineWest Virginia Mountaineers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward West Virginia.
+117+108−100−108−117Opening line+119Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−116Market move, no reported newsFri 7:55 AM−120Less than the spread implies−115Closing line−115
+117+108−100−108−117Opening line+119Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−116Market move, no reported newsFri 7:55 AM−120Less than the spread implies−115Closing line−115
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line45.7% (+119)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET53.6% (−116)
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 25, 7:55 AM ET54.6% (−120)
Less than the spread implies53.4% (−115)
Closing line53.4% (−115)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5758596061Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+2Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+1Closing line60.5
5758596061Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+2Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+1Closing line60.5

Final: 65 points, over the closing total of 60.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET+2
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 5:55 PM ET+1
Closing line60.5

Every Book · West Virginia side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−2 −110−1271.79 53.4%60.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−1.5 −112−1251.80 53.2%60.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−1.5 −115−1281.78 53.6%60.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−1.5 −118−1251.80 53.2%60.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−1.5 −113−1211.83 52.6%60.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−1.5 −110−1201.83 52.2%59Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers−2 −110−1271.79 53.1%60.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−2 −105−1271.79 53.7%60Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−1.5 −110−1251.80 53.2%60Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−2 −101−1271.79 53.7%60Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−2 −110−1291.78 53.7%60Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−2 −110−1321.76 54.7%60.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.