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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 3:30 PM ET · Final Oklahoma 13, Georgia 41

Oklahoma at 2Georgia

Georgia −10 at our first look, −13.5 at kickoff. SEC game.

Conditions · Sanford Stadium: At kickoff: 81°F, wind 9 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Oklahoma 0.0 · Georgia 0.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward Georgia.

Landed: Oklahoma 13, Georgia 41. Georgia covered the closing line (Georgia −13.5). The move toward Georgia was right. 54 points, over the closing total of 44.

Oklahoma Sooners 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Georgia Bulldogs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Georgia lineGeorgia Bulldogs spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Georgia.
−14−13−12−11−10Opening line−10Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−2.5Closing line−13.5
−14−13−12−11−10Opening line−10Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−2.5Closing line−13.5

Final: Oklahoma 13, Georgia 41. Georgia beat the closing number by 14.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−10
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 7:55 PM ET-1
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET-2.5
Closing line−13.5
What moved the Georgia moneylineGeorgia Bulldogs moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Georgia.
−355−400−456−525Opening line−339Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−385Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−549Less than the spread implies−443Closing line−443
−355−400−456−525Opening line−339Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−385Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−549Less than the spread implies−443Closing line−443
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line77.2% (−339)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 7:55 PM ET79.4% (−385)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET84.6% (−549)
Less than the spread implies81.6% (−443)
Closing line81.6% (−443)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4446485052Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−5.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−3Closing line44
4446485052Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−5.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−3Closing line44

Final: 54 points, over the closing total of 44.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line52.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 7:55 PM ET-5.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET-3
Closing line44

Every Book · Georgia side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.6%44Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.2%43.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−13.5 −105−5501.18 81.5%44.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−13 −110−5501.18 81.6%43.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−13.5 −109−5901.17 81.8%43.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−13.5 −110−5751.17 81.7%44Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−14 −108−6701.15 82.7%44Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.3%44Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−13 −115−5851.17 81.3%44Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−13.5 −105−5501.18 81.3%44Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−13.5 −110−6261.16 82.3%44Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−13.5 −110−5501.18 81.6%44Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.