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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 9:00 PM ET · Final Oregon State 33, UTEP 7

Oregon State at UTEP

UTEP +10.5 at our first look, +11 at kickoff. Pac-12 vs. Mountain West.

Conditions · Sun Bowl: At kickoff: 87°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Oregon State 0.0 · UTEP 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Oregon State.

Landed: Oregon State 33, UTEP 7. Oregon State covered the closing line (UTEP +11). The move toward Oregon State was right. 40 points, under the closing total of 56.

Oregon State Beavers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

UTEP Miners 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the UTEP lineUTEP Miners spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against UTEP.
+10+11Opening line+10.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM+0.5Closing line+11
+10+11Opening line+10.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM+0.5Closing line+11

Final: Oregon State 33, UTEP 7. UTEP missed the closing number by 15.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+10.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 26, 9:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line+11
What moved the UTEP moneylineUTEP Miners moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward UTEP.
+400+376+355Opening line+381Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM+400Less than the spread implies+369Closing line+369
+400+376+355Opening line+381Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM+400Less than the spread implies+369Closing line+369
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line20.8% (+381)
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 26, 9:55 AM ET20.0% (+400)
Less than the spread implies21.3% (+369)
Closing line21.3% (+369)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5354555657Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−3Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+2.5Closing line56
5354555657Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−3Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+2.5Closing line56

Final: 40 points, under the closing total of 56.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line56.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET-3
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 5:55 PM ET+2.5
Closing line56

Every Book · UTEP side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+11 −110+3504.50 21.3%56Sat 7:55 PM
DraftKings+11.5 −115+3404.40 21.8%56.5Sat 7:55 PM
FanDuel+10.5 −102+3404.40 21.7%56.5Sat 7:55 PM
BetMGM+11 −108+3504.50 21.4%55.5Sat 7:55 PM
Caesars+11 −109+3504.50 21.3%56.5Sat 7:55 PM
Fanatics+10.5 −110+3404.40 21.7%55Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+11 −109+3504.50 21.1%56Sat 7:55 PM
BetOnline+11 −110+3504.50 21.4%56Sat 7:55 PM
Bovada+11.5 −110+3704.70 20.3%56.5Sat 7:55 PM
LowVig+11 −106+3504.50 21.4%56Sat 7:55 PM
MyBookie+11 −110+3504.50 21.2%56Sat 7:55 PM
BetUS+11.5 −115+3554.55 21.2%56Sat 7:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.