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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 10:00 PM ET · Final Rice 24, Fresno State 38

Rice at Fresno State

Fresno State −12.5 at our first look, −12.5 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. Pac-12.

Conditions · Valley Children's Stadium: At kickoff: 84°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Rice 0.0 · Fresno State 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Rice 24, Fresno State 38. Fresno State covered the closing line (Fresno State −12.5). 62 points, over the closing total of 43.5.

Rice Owls 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Fresno State Bulldogs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Fresno State lineFresno State Bulldogs spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Fresno State.
−14−13−12Opening line−12.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−1Market move, no reported newsFri 1:55 PM+1Closing line−12.5
−14−13−12Opening line−12.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−1Market move, no reported newsFri 1:55 PM+1Closing line−12.5

Final: Rice 24, Fresno State 38. Fresno State beat the closing number by 1.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−12.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 25, 1:55 PM ET+1
Closing line−12.5
What moved the Fresno State moneylineFresno State Bulldogs moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Fresno State.
−400−426−456−488Opening line−424Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−481Market move, no reported newsFri 1:55 PM−424Closing line−415
−400−426−456−488Opening line−424Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−481Market move, no reported newsFri 1:55 PM−424Closing line−415
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line80.9% (−424)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 11:55 AM ET82.8% (−481)
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 25, 1:55 PM ET80.9% (−424)
Closing line80.6% (−415)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
434445Opening line44.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM−1Closing line43.5
434445Opening line44.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM−1Closing line43.5

Final: 62 points, over the closing total of 43.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line44.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 26, 9:55 AM ET-1
Closing line43.5

Every Book · Fresno State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−12.5 −110−5201.19 80.6%43.5Sat 9:55 PM
DraftKings−12.5 −108−5001.20 80.0%43.5Sat 9:55 PM
FanDuel−12.5 −110−6101.16 82.3%43.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetMGM−12.5 −110−5251.19 80.8%43.5Sat 9:55 PM
Caesars−12.5 −110−5301.19 80.8%43.5Sat 9:55 PM
Fanatics−13.5 −115−5751.17 81.7%44.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers−12 −113−6251.16 82.0%44.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetOnline−12.5 −110−5151.19 80.5%43Sat 9:55 PM
Bovada−12 −110−5101.20 79.7%43.5Sat 9:55 PM
LowVig−12.5 −106−5151.19 80.5%43Sat 9:55 PM
MyBookie−12.5 −110−5521.18 80.3%44Sat 9:55 PM
BetUS−12.5 −110−5151.19 80.7%43Sat 9:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.