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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 12:00 PM ET · Final Sam Houston 14, Texas Tech 49

Sam Houston at 11Texas Tech

Texas Tech −37.5 at our first look, −34.5 at kickoff. Conference USA vs. Big 12.

Conditions · Jones AT&T Stadium: At kickoff: 77°F, wind 11 mph (gusts 20), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Sam Houston 0.0 · Texas Tech 0.0. Market: moved 3 toward Sam Houston.

Landed: Sam Houston 14, Texas Tech 49. Texas Tech covered the closing line (Texas Tech −34.5). The move toward Sam Houston was right. 63 points, over the closing total of 55.5.

Sam Houston Bearkats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Texas Tech Red Raiders 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Texas Tech lineTexas Tech Red Raiders spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Texas Tech.
−38−37−36−35−34Opening line−37.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+2Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+1Closing line−34.5
−38−37−36−35−34Opening line−37.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+2Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+1Closing line−34.5

Final: Sam Houston 14, Texas Tech 49. Texas Tech beat the closing number by 0.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−37.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET+2
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET+1
Closing line−34.5
What moved the Texas Tech moneylineTexas Tech Red Raiders moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Texas Tech.
−3233−4900Opening line−4445Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−4445Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−4445Closing line−4248
−3233−4900Opening line−4445Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−4445Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−4445Closing line−4248
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line97.8% (−4445)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET97.8% (−4445)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET97.8% (−4445)
Closing line97.7% (−4248)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
545556Opening line55.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM+1Closing line55.5
545556Opening line55.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsTue 9:55 AM+1Closing line55.5

Final: 63 points, over the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 22, 9:55 AM ET+1
Closing line55.5

Every Book · Texas Tech side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−34.5 −112−275001.00 97.7%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−34.5 −112—— —55.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−34.5 −110−300001.00 97.6%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−34.5 −110−250001.00 97.9%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−35 −110—— —54.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics−34.5 −110—— —56Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−34.5 −115—— —56Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−34.5 −115—— —55.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−34.5 −120—— —56Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−34.5 −111—— —55.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−34.5 −115—— —55.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.